PREDICCS - Predictions of radiation from REleASE, EMMREM, and Data Incorporating CRaTER, COSTEP, and other SEP measurements - is an on-line system to predict and forecast the radiation environment through interplanetary space. PREDICCS uses SEP (Solar Energetic Particle) measurements from the Cosmic Ray Telescope for the Effects of Radiation (CRaTER) instrument currently on the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter (LRO) and data from the Comprehensive Suprathermal and Energetic Particle Analyzer (COSTEP) and integrates two radiation environment models: The Earth-Moon-Mars Radiation Environment Module (EMMREM) and the Relativistic Electron Alert System for Exploration (REleASE). REleASE very accurately forecasts SEP events up to one and a half hours ahead of the event. The EMMREM model predicts the real-time radiation environment using Energetic Particle Radiation Environment Module (EPREM) and the Baryon Transport Module (BRYNTRN). We combine these two models to nowcast and forecast the radiation environment at various observers - including the Earth, Moon, Mars, and at specific target observers such as comets and asteroids - and for future SEP events.
Prediccs runs in real-time, updating the output hourly. Follow the links below to directly access the image files displayed above, and the data files used to create the plots.
Prediccs also runs off of once-a-day generated, corrected data. The following link leads to the directory of EMMREM runs by date. Within the individual dated directoried the /bryn and /fluxPlots sub-directories are where you will find the dosage and flux data and corresponding plots.
Runs of particular interest can be found by following the link below. They are organized by date and the structure of the directories is the same as with the Prediccs run directories: /bryn for the dose plots and /fluxPlots for the fluxes.
A newer, user-friendly Prediccs site is available at http://prediccs.sr.unh.edu. It has hourly updated plots on the main page, as well as a date-searchable archive of data and plots.
This material is based upon work supported by the National Science Foundation under Grant No. AGS1135432, by NASA/LWS under Grant No. NNX07AC14G, and NASA LRO/CRaTER/PREDICCs project (contract number NNG11PA03C).
Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of NASA or NSF.
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